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Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa 70.9%
Draw 20.2%
Brasil de Pelotas 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
22.5%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
13.8%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.
Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-31.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
12.5%
20.8%
Sampaio Corrêa - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 47.8% – 85.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).
Sampaio Corrêa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Brasil de Pelotas have a series of home games.
In this match Sampaio Corrêa is absolute favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
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