Match Info

Date: 6 March 2021, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3	2	Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.98
	3.35	3.05	2.08
	3.72	3.13	2.19
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.46	3.26	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (5.1)	3.16 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
26.2%

Draw
29%

Fortaleza
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

26.7%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

15.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa's performance.

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sampaio Corrêa - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sampaio Corrêa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fortaleza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
03.03.21	SE Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.21	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
23.02.21	Sampaio Corrêa - São José de Ribamar	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
22.01.21	Cuiabá - Sampaio Corrêa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWWW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
03.03.21	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.21	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
20.02.21	Fortaleza - Bahia	0:4 ✺
14.02.21	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
10.02.21	Fortaleza - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.09.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Fortaleza	1:0
02.06.18	Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
07.10.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Fortaleza	2:2
02.10.17	Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
19.08.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Fortaleza	2:0
18.06.17	Fortaleza - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0

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