Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Sport Recife		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.55	4.12	6.5
	1.53	4.12	6.5
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.52	4.05	6.35	Watch
	1.48	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	4.03 ↓ (4.28)	6.22 ↓ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
61.8%

Draw
23.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

22%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

14.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sport Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Jordan (G) 2. Ewerthon 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 44. Chico 6. Felipinho 7. Fabinho 94. Felipe 10. Jorginho 11. Edinho 97. Fabricio Daniel 88. Wanderson	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 13. Lucas Mota 14. Icaro 4. Gustavo Henrique 6. Para (C) 8. Ferreira 15. Eloir 21. Neto Paraiba 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 19. Vitinho
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 87. Diego Souza 20. Edison Negueba 47. Fabio Matheus 90. Gabriel Santos 56. Juan Xavier 17. Nathan 48. Pedro Martins 77. Peglow 33. Renan (G) 5. Ronaldo 28. Rosales R.	7. Claudinei 3. Fabio Aguiar 22. Gabriel Silva 9. Getterson 17. Jo 2. Mateus Pivo 20. Nadson Mesquita 16. Patrick Allan 10. Robinho 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho
Coaches
Moreira E.	Ferreira D.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Sport Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sport Recife is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sport Recife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
18.11.23	Vitória Salvador - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
10.11.23	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Mirassol - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sport Recife - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Avaí	4:0 ✺
11.11.23	Ituano - Sampaio Corrêa	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	1:2
22.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	4:1
09.04.22	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.21	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
22.03.17	Sampaio Corrêa - Sport Recife	2:1
25.01.17	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
18.03.15	Sport Recife - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1

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