Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 35

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.34	3.05	3.65
	2.34	3.02	3.65
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.26	3.14	3.32	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.86)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.35 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
41.2%

Draw
30.7%

Tombense
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

29.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tombense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tombense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tombense will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tombense: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Thiago Braga (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 14. Icaro 3. Rafael Jansen 6. Para (C) 21. Neto Paraiba 8. Ferreira 10. Robinho 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 22. Henrique	1. Felipe Garcia (G) 22. Kevin 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Egidio 5. Joao Pedro 8. Bruninho 17. Keke 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Guilherme Santos 9. Fernandao
Substitutes
32. Carlos Eduardo (G) 7. Claudinei 15. Eloir 9. Getterson 4. Gustavo Henrique 16. Jo 20. Mauricio Maranhao 25. Patrick Allan 17. Riquelmo 13. Samuel Santos 18. Thiaguinho 19. Vitinho	20. Alexandre Jesus 21. Alex Sandro 13. Augusto 23. Jaderson 19. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 2. Lucas Marques 11. Marcelinho 16. Pedro Costa 14. Pierre 18. Robert 15. Wesley
Coaches
Ferreira D.	Junior M.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Sampaio Corrêa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tombense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Pimentinha (Injury) Ytalo (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
28.10.23	Criciúma - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Ceará - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
30.10.23	Chapecoense - Tombense	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Vitória Salvador - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.07.23	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
29.07.22	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:0
16.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:1

Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide