Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 7

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Marques T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Bangu

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	4.6
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.67	5.12
	1.69	3.66	4.99	Watch
	1.68	3.81	4.77
	1.75	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	4.83 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
54.8%

Draw
25.8%

Bangu
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Bangu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bangu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 2. Lucas Carvalho 3. Daniel Nunes 24. Eduardo Thuram 23. Guilherme 8. Alexandre Souza 25. Pablo 10. Rafael Pernao 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 9. Elias (C) 7. Max	31. Victor Brasil (G) 6. Andre Castro (C) 3. Ramom Soares 5. Marlon 4. Italo 17. Joao Felipe 33. Ruan Carlos 8. Ronald Bele 10. Luke Nathan 16. Leo Guerra 9. Joao Veras
Coaches
Sampaio A.	de Franca Junior I. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rafael Pernao ⚽, Max (A),
20', Joao Veras 🟨,
32', Eduardo Thuram 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leo Guerra ↓, Rafael Carioca ↑,
46', Joao Felipe ↓, Alex Moretti ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Elias ⚽,
48', Ruan Carlos 🟨,
48', Ronald Bele 🟨,
53', Alexandre Souza 🟨,
58', Guilherme 🟨,
66', Elias ↓, Vinicius Kanu ↑,
66', Andre Castro ↓, Matheus Couto ↑,
66', Ronald Bele ↓, Fabinho ↑,
66', Alexandre Souza ↓, Gabriel Agu ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Max (Pen),
79', Marlon ↓, Vinicius ↑,
81', Guilherme 🟨,
83', Luke Nathan 🟨,
84', Pablo ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
84', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Luan Gama ↑,
84', Daniel Nunes ↓, Anderson Penna ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.25	Flamengo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
23.01.25	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LTTWL
- Bangu AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.25	Nova Iguaçu - Bangu	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Bangu	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Bangu - Flamengo	0:5 ✺
19.01.25	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
16.01.25	Vasco da Gama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
20.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu	2:0

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide