Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+, KASY TV, KDKA+, NESN Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sacramento Republic		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	2.02	3.2	3.4
	2.06	3.31	3.84
	1.98	3.38	3.71	Watch
	2.01	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.18	3.67	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.57 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
46%

Draw
28.3%

San Antonio
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sacramento Republic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Sacramento Republic - San Antonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 6. Kleemann F. 27. Crisostomo D. 24. Casas J. 19. Midence A. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 26. Jennings C.	98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 21. Crognale A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. (C) 22. Cuello E. 19. Parano C. 15. Maldonado M. 8. Hernandez N. 10. Hernandez J. 77. Ricol L.
Substitutes
71. Edwards K. 15. Essel A. 21. Leibold T. 31. Randolph J. (G) 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R. 20. Willey B. 16. Wolff T.	17. Barbir D. 14. Berron L. 4. Blanco N. 31. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D. 32. Paredes L. 99. Sorto C.
Coaches
Collins N.	Llamosa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Hernandez J. 🟨,
44', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ricol L. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
46', Parano C. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
54', Hernandez J. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
67', Jennings C. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
67', Malango M. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
72', Midence A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
72', Kleemann F. ↓, Leibold T. ↑,
78', Hernandez N. ↓, Sorto C. ↑,
83', Pacheco D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.

Sacramento Republic is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

San Antonio has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

San Antonio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Sacramento Republic carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Sacramento Republic has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:17 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sacramento Republic against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:7 goals (averaging 1.4:0.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
12.09.26	Sacramento Republic - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Lexington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTTW
- San Antonio FC
USL Championship
11.09.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - San Antonio	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.09.26	San Antonio - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
05.09.26	San Antonio - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	New Mexico United - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	San Antonio - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.05.26	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1
02.08.25	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	1:3
14.06.25	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	0:0
05.10.24	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1
24.08.24	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	1:0
27.10.23	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	3:1
24.06.23	Sacramento Republic - San Antonio	3:1

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