Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 5 South, ESPN South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	San Antonio Bulo Bulo		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2.05
	3.95	3.25	1.98	Watch
	4.01	3.3	2.11
	4.06	3.37	1.97	Watch
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.97	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.95	3.25	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.01)	3.33 ↓ (3.56)	2.01 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
24.3%

Draw
28.4%

Peñarol de Montevideo
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

26.6%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Peñarol (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Peñarol (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 2 - 50%). Peñarol (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Saracho R. (G) 30. Montenegro J. 25. Sanchez H. 2. Salvareschi B. 3. Barbosa Quiroz L. R. 4. Flores J. 16. Viveros S. 7. Herrera J. 34. Mendoza G. 77. Martinez J. 9. Blanco O.	12. De Amores G. (G) 20. Milans P. 34. Herrera N. 2. Leo Coelho 15. Olivera M. (C) 5. Sosa I. 6. Perez R. 32. Umpierrez L. 10. Fernandez L. 28. Baez J. 11. Silvera M.
Substitutes
17. Aguilar J. 5. Arce S. 11. Fernandez A. 21. Huayhuata I. 20. Justiniano L. 27. Otazu M. 31. Penarrieta J. (G) 24. Rodriguez H. 19. Sanchez E. 22. Saucedo W. 10. Suarez C. 18. Vargas R.	7. Cabrera J. 25. Campana M. (G) 80. David Terans 50. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 27. Lucas Hernandez 77. Machado A. 18. Mayada C. 23. Mendez J. 29. Remedi E. 4. Rodriguez J. 21. Silva G. 8. Villalba H.
Coaches
Monasterio J.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Herrera J. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mendoza G. ↓, Otazu M. ↑,
46', Perez R. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
46', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
49', Leo Coelho 🟨,
55', Blanco O. 🟨,
60', Umpierrez L. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
60', Baez J. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
65', Martinez J. ↓, Rodriguez H. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Silvera M. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
81', Barbosa Quiroz L. R. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
81', Viveros S. ↓, Aguilar J. ↑,
85', Montenegro J. 🟨,
86', Sosa I. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Lucas Hernandez ⚽, Cabrera J. (A),
90+5', 0 - 3, Silvera M. ⚽, De Amores G. (A),

Preview

SA Bulo Bulo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peñarol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SA Bulo Bulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñarol is the team to beat.

There will not play in Peñarol: Avenatti F. (Muscle Injury) Cabrera J. (Muscle Injury) Darias E. (Knee Injury) Olase T. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, SA Bulo Bulo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.05.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.04.25	GVCD San José - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.04.25	Oriente Petrolero - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.04.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTTWT
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.05.25	Defensor Sporting - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro	Abandoned ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 W?TWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0

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