Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	8	Watch
	1.38	4.33	7.25
	1.37	4.4	8.2	Watch
	1.4	4.29	8.32	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.39	4.41	8.1	Watch
	1.37	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.29)	4.31 ↓ (4.78)	8.01 ↓ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
66.9%

Draw
21.5%

Miramar Misiones
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

19.3%

9.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Campana M. (G) 20. Milans P. 2. Leo Coelho 23. Mendez J. (C) 4. Rodriguez J. 5. Sosa I. 29. Remedi E. 28. Baez J. 10. Fernandez L. 32. Umpierrez L. 8. Villalba H.	30. Moreno J. (G) 29. Ayala J. 3. Diana S. 19. Olivera A. 16. Gomez M. 14. Pereira G. (C) 32. Fernandez M. 11. Sosa A. 25. Olivera D. 21. Rodriguez A. 24. Silvera F.
Substitutes
17. Barbas G. 80. David Terans 50. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 70. Gonzalez F. 27. Lucas Hernandez 77. Machado A. 18. Mayada C. 1. Morgan Michelena K. M. (G) 15. Olivera M. 6. Perez R.	9. Douglas J. 1. Giossa L. (G) 18. Hurtado B. 4. Lopez P. 23. Nunez D. 8. Pandiani A. 10. Ramirez G. 27. Schiappacasse N. 22. Viana L. 7. Yepez I.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Peralta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽,
34', Diana S. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Umpierrez L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Umpierrez L. ↓, David Terans ↑,
58', Villalba H. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Baez J. ⚽,
69', Pereira G. 🟨,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
72', Sosa I. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
73', Olivera D. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,
73', Pereira G. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
78', Fernandez M. 🟨,
83', Baez J. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Machado A. ⚽,
86', Diana S. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
87', Fernandez M. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 2, Lopez P. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peñarol is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 2.8:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.04.25	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.04.25	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
31.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
07.09.24	Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2
24.02.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	2:0
04.04.14	Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2
03.11.13	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	5:0

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