Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	San Antonio Bulo Bulo		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.6	1.67	Watch
	5.25	3.5	1.68
	4.95	3.6	1.72	Watch
	5.66	3.61	1.72
	4.92	3.59	1.76
	5	3.5	1.67	Watch
	5.41	3.62	1.72	Watch
	4.95	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.94)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
18.1%

Draw
26.5%

Vélez Sársfield
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

25.1%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Antonio Bulo Bulo's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - SA Bulo Bulo (4.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Vélez (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. SA Bulo Bulo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vélez (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Saracho R. (G) 30. Montenegro J. 25. Sanchez H. 2. Salvareschi B. 3. Barbosa Quiroz L. R. 4. Flores J. 7. Herrera J. 16. Viveros S. 34. Mendoza G. 77. Martinez J. 9. Blanco O.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 14. Lagos A. 34. Fernandez D. 31. Gomez V. 3. Gomez E. 32. Ordonez C. 5. Baeza C. 26. Bouzat A. 28. Carrizo M. 20. Pizzini F. 9. Braian Romero
Substitutes
17. Aguilar J. 5. Arce S. 11. Fernandez A. 21. Huayhuata I. 20. Justiniano L. 13. Merida K. 27. Otazu M. 31. Penarrieta J. (G) 24. Rodriguez H. 19. Sanchez E. 10. Suarez C. 18. Vargas R.	8. Galvan T. 21. Gordon J. 39. Machuca I. 10. Montoro A. 11. Pellegrini M. 46. Porcel M. 6. Quiros A. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M. 40. Silvero T. 33. Vazquez K. A.
Coaches
Monasterio J.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Saracho R. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Gomez E. (Own goal),
28', Barbosa Quiroz L. R. 🟨,
45+4', Ordonez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Viveros S. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
65', Salvareschi B. 🟨,
65', Lagos A. 🟨,
67', Mendoza G. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
70', Ordonez C. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
71', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
72', Flores J. 🟨,
80', Barbosa Quiroz L. R. ↓, Rodriguez H. ↑,
80', Martinez J. ↓, Otazu M. ↑,
83', Gomez E. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Santos M. (Own goal),
88', Otazu M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Montoro A. ⚽,
90+2', Bouzat A. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

SA Bulo Bulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vélez is a favorite.

There will not play in Vélez: Cavanagh T. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez M. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Knee Injury) Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Gordon J. (Muscle Injury) Mammana E. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vélez: Carrizo M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.43%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.04.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.04.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Jorge Wilstermann	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLLWW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Vélez Sársfield	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.04.25	Rosario Central - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWLW

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