The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego 41.3%
Draw 24.3%
Seattle Sounders 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
23.7%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
24.6%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-4%)
San Diego - Seattle Sounders Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sisniega P. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 20. Godoy A. (C) 12. Gabriel Pirani 10. Dreyer A. 94. Bakambu C. 90. Pellegrino A.
26. Thomas A. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 16. Roldan A. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 31. Dotson H. 7. Roldan C. (C) 27. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. 13. Morris J. 9. Joveljic D.
Substitutes
1. dos Santos CJ (G) 7. Ingvartsen M. 36. Nyangono D. 25. Pilcher I. 3. Thorhallsson D. 6. Tverskov J. 8. Valakari O. 23. Vines S. 14. Zamble B. B.
17. Arriola P. 81. Bronnik M. 37. Brunell S. 8. Clark C. 24. Frei S. (G) 90. Gomez S. 39. Hawkins S. 45. Kingston P. 4. Sailor R.
Coaches
Varas M.
Schmetzer B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ferreira J. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽,
52', Joveljic D. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Dotson H. (A),
59', Roldan A. 🟨,
60', Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 1 - 2, Bakambu C. ⚽,
61', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Tverskov J. ↑,
61', Pellegrino A. ↓, Ingvartsen M. ↑,
61', Godoy A. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
63', Roldan A. ↓, Hawkins S. ↑,
68', Morris J. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
71', Sargeant K. ↓, Vines S. ↑,
80', Joveljic D. ↓, Arriola P. ↑,
80', Dotson H. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
82', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Nyangono D. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Bakambu C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th and 7th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In recent outings, San Diego has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Seattle is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, San Diego has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for San Diego: Soe O.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Seattle: Petkovic N.
(Knee Injury)
Rothrock P.
(Hamstring Injury)
de La Vega P.
(Calf Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Seattle: Hawkins S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roldan A.
(Calf Injury).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, San Diego has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Diego against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.
Outrights of MLS for now
Seattle Sounders: 2% San Diego FC: 0.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Seattle Sounders - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.