Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	San Diego		Seattle Sounders

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
	2.35	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.13	3.42	Watch
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.23	3.38	3.29	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	3.16 ↓ (3.52)	3.34 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
41.6%

Draw
30%

Seattle Sounders
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

San Diego - Seattle Sounders Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Seattle (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 19. Loffelsend J. 17. McNair P. 97. McVey C. 22. Negri F. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. 14. de la Torre L. 10. Dreyer A. 8. Valakari O. 11. Lozano H.	24. Frei S. (G) 5. Nouhou 25. Ragen J. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 16. Roldan A. 18. Vargas O. 7. Roldan C. 14. Rothrock P. 9. Ferreira J. 93. Minoungou G. 11. Rusnak A.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 9. Angel T. 16. Bruseth H. 5. Diop H. 2. Kumado W. 77. Mighten A. 25. Pilcher I. 4. Reyes A. 13. Sisniega P. (G)	21. Baker-Whiting R. 15. Bell J. 10. de La Vega P. 6. Joao Paulo 85. Kalani K. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 75. Leyva D. 19. Musovski D. 26. Thomas A. (G)
Coaches
Varas M.	Schmetzer B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tverskov J. ⚽, Lozano H. (A),
34', Roldan A. ↓, Kalani K. ↑,
41', 2 - 0, Godoy A. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A), Lozano H. (A2)
45+3', 3 - 0, Lozano H. ⚽, Loffelsend J. (A), Tverskov J. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rusnak A. ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
55', Loffelsend J. ↓, Kumado W. ↑,
60', Negri F. 🟨,
61', Minoungou G. ↓, de La Vega P. ↑,
62', Ferreira J. ↓, Musovski D. ↑,
64', de la Torre L. 🟨,
67', Negri F. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
67', Lozano H. ↓, Mighten A. ↑,
68', Leyva D. 🟨,
80', Mighten A. 🟨,
80', Dreyer A. ↓, Angel T. ↑,
80', Rothrock P. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
81', de la Torre L. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

San Diego will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in San Diego: Boateng E. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) de La Vega P. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
29.03.25	San Diego - Los Angeles	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Austin FC - San Diego	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	San Diego - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Real Salt Lake - San Diego	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	San Diego - St. Louis City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWT
- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
29.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Seattle Sounders	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.25	Cruz Azul - Seattle Sounders	4:1 ✺
MLS
08.03.25	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLW

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