Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	San Fernando		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	3	3.05	2.2
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.88	3.28	2.42
	2.8	2.88	2.55
	2.85	3.32	2.27
	2.8	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.17)	3.19 ↑ (3.01)	2.3 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Fernando
32.1%

Draw
28.5%

Celta de Vigo B
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Celta de Vigo B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Celta de Vigo B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Fernando - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 15).

San Fernando is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Celta de Vigo B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celta de Vigo B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.11.22	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	San Fernando - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pontevedra - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	San Fernando - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLT
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.11.22	Celta de Vigo B - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
05.11.22	Badajoz - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Linares Deportivo - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWT

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