Match Info

LPF - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Nacional		Plaza Amador

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.1	1.65
	5.49	3.2	1.74
	4.24	3.38	1.84	Watch
	4.9	3.61	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.54)	3.32 ↓ (3.76)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
18.6%

Draw
27.9%

Plaza Amador
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.1%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.2%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Plaza Amador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Atlético Nacional - Plaza Amador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plaza Amador (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almengor D. (G) 24. Aguilar A. 20. Barrera J. 27. Barria J. 22. Diaz S. 7. Garces A. 2. Ortega A. 19. P. Perez (C) 25. Rivas J. 15. Rodriguez C. 5. Vega M.	23. Allen M. (G) 48. Alexander J. 30. Cummings H. 5. Forero J. 16. Gonzalez C. 29. Lopez O. (C) 21. Murillo D. 15. Murillo Y. 11. Phillips R. 27. Rios H. 43. Taivez J.
Substitutes
17. Corpas A. 8. De Gracia R. 9. Henriquez M. 12. Moreno S. 26. Murillo G. (G) 4. Pinzon J. 10. Riquelme M. 11. Rivera J. 23. Valencia A. 14. Velasquez C.	10. Buitrago R. 1. Castaneda S. (G) 14. Knight A. 6. Lara J. 20. Murillo J. 19. Quintero A. 13. Rose E. 2. Sanchez A. 4. Sanchez J. 7. Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 1 - 0, Diaz S. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Rios H. ⚽,
20', P. Perez 🟨,
36', Ortega A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Phillips R. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 3, Murillo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aguilar A. ↓, Henriquez M. ↑,
61', 1 - 4, Phillips R. ⚽,
64', Forero J. ↓, Knight A. ↑,
64', Gonzalez C. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
64', Murillo Y. ↓, Buitrago R. ↑,
68', P. Perez ↓, Velasquez C. ↑,
68', Diaz S. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
68', Lopez O. ↓, Rose E. ↑,
75', 2 - 4, Moreno S. ⚽,
89', 2 - 5, Moreno S. ⚽,

Preview

Atlético Nacional has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Plaza Amador is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Plaza Amador may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of away games.

Recently, Plaza Amador has had a series of home games.

In this match, Plaza Amador is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Panama
Liga Panamena de Futbol
14.09.25	Sporting San Miguelito - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Árabe Unido - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	UMECIT - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente de la Chorrera - Atlético Nacional	3:3 ✺
09.08.25	Deportivo Universitario - Atlético Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLTT
- CD Plaza Amador
Liga Panamena de Futbol
13.09.25	Plaza Amador - Herrera	2:2 ✺
05.09.25	Deportivo Universitario - Plaza Amador	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Plaza Amador - San Francisco	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.25	Plaza Amador - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Plaza Amador - Managua	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTWW

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