Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 14

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Tre Penne		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	9.8
	1.2	6.07	11.13
	1.2	5	13
	1.25	6.04	9.98
	1.17	5.66	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 (1.21)	5.65 ↓ (5.8)	11.18 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
75.7%

Draw
16.1%

AC Libertas
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.2%

15.7%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

AC Libertas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tre Penne - AC Libertas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Peluso L. ⚽, Turchetta G. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Pieri R. ⚽, Peluso L. (A),
10', 3 - 0, Casadio P. ⚽, Pieri R. (A),
14', Senja E. 🟥,
31', 4 - 0, Pieri R. ⚽, Turchetta G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 5 - 0, Badalassi I. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AC Libertas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tre Penne has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tre Penne is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:5. (average 1.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
14.12.25	Cailungo - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
10.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Virtus - Tre Penne	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Folgore - Tre Penne	1:3 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
26.11.25	Tre Penne - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
13.12.25	AC Libertas - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	AC Libertas - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cosmos - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	AC Libertas - Pennarossa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
16.02.25	AC Libertas - Tre Penne	0:2
13.03.24	AC Libertas - Tre Penne	1:3
02.12.23	Tre Penne - AC Libertas	2:1
17.03.23	Tre Penne - AC Libertas	4:0
San Marino Coppa Titano
08.02.23	AC Libertas - Tre Penne	0:2
25.01.23	Tre Penne - AC Libertas	2:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.11.22	AC Libertas - Tre Penne	0:1

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