The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerro Porteño 53.9%
Draw 24.7%
San Lorenzo 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.7%
21.8%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.1%
18.1%
10.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.
San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+25.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.6%
8.3%
11.1%
Cerro Porteño - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Clausura to Play Offs) and 10).
Cerro Porteño is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches San Lorenzo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
San Lorenzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.
Watch
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