The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Luis de Quillota 19.3%
Draw 23.6%
Universidad Católica 57.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.1%
19.8%
64%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16%
19.6%
64.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad Católica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
San Luis de Quillota - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Abarzua F. (G) 13. Munoz Alister N. (C) 3. Meza I. 28. Guerra Rojas M. 4. Duran V. 8. Acosta C. 34. Catalan D. 5. Torres J. 7. Vergara S. 21. Pastenes F. 19. Gonzalez D.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 2. Gonzalez D. 42. Pino N. 3. Mena E. 15. Cuevas C. (C) 8. Zuqui F. 14. Martinez J. A. 7. Giani J. 18. Rossel J. 22. Gomez M.
Substitutes
22. Bustos G. 24. Castro J. 17. Juarez F. 25. Millan P. 14. Monardes D. 10. Parada S. 32. Villegas A. 37. Yanez D. 16. Zamorano D.
13. Canales A. 25. Corral D. 34. Daza F. 5. Farias A. 39. L’Huillier N. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 43. Perez A. 4. Perez I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
38', Pino N. 🟨,
45', Rossel J. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
45+4', Acosta C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Acosta C. ↓, Millan P. ↑,
46', Pino N. ↓, Farias A. ↑,
48', Torres J. 🟨,
49', Giani J. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Vergara S. ⚽,
60', Zuqui F. 🟨,
60', Zuqui F. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
67', Torres J. ↓, Parada S. ↑,
67', Gonzalez D. ↓, Bustos G. ↑,
67', Vergara S. ↓, Juarez F. ↑,
74', Cuevas C. 🟨,
74', Giani J. 🟨,
76', Pastenes F. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
79', Cuevas C. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
80', Millan P. 🟨,
87', 3 - 0, Parada S. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 0, Catalan D. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Uni Católica is Qualified for Copa Chile (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Luis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni Católica is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
San Luis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Luis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, San Luis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Usa
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Abarzua F. (G) 
Acosta C. 
Torres J. 
Gonzalez D. 
