Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Round 16

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.65
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.29	3.35	2.75
	2.33	3.34	2.79
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.28	3.35	2.78
	2.26	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.08)	3.35 ↑ (3.33)	2.75 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
40%

Draw
27.1%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

San Marcos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Garcia A. (G)
11. Aguirre W.
18. Ayala J.
5. Bernaola B.
8. Castro F.
29. Freitas M.
10. Munoz J.
28. Romero P.
4. Soto J.
30. Tuesta J.
9. Vasquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Leguia F. ⚽,
15', Castro F. ↓, Mesias Silva P. C. ↑,
16', Munoz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Freitas M. ↓, Velarde M. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Vasquez J. ⚽,
64', Aoki A. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
64', Ramirez N. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
68', Vasquez J. ↓, Quijano P. ↑,
80', Osorio A. ↓, Pajoy L. ↑,
82', Rodriguez C. ↓, Nieto D. ↑,
82', Leguia F. ↓, Arrasco M. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Pajoy L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
28.06.24	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	6:0 ✺
24.06.24	Carlos Stein - San Marcos	1:2 ✺
09.06.24	San Marcos - Pirata	2:1 ✺
30.05.24	Juan Pablo II College - San Marcos	3:2 ✺
23.05.24	San Marcos - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
02.07.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Pirata	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Pablo II College	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
30.05.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADA Jaén	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Carlos Stein - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.05.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - San Marcos	3:1

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