Match Info

Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos (Lima)


	San Marcos		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.05	2.98
	3.68	4.27	1.76	Watch
	3.7	3.58	1.82
	2.26	3.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.07)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	2.32 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marcos
32.2%

Draw
26.6%

Santos
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.7%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos's form might have worsened.

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

San Marcos - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Marcos will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Santos will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 65% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Santos (1.84) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Santos (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Romero P. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Curiel M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Andia R. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
62', 1 - 3, Mena Y. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Marcos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC San Marcos
Peruvian Liga 2
07.09.25	Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	San Marcos - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	San Marcos - Unión Comercio	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Santos - San Marcos	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	San Marcos - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
06.09.25	Santos - ADA Jaén	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Unión Comercio - Santos	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Santos - San Marcos	3:0 ✺
03.08.25	ADA Jaén - Santos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
09.08.25	Santos - San Marcos	3:0

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