Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Referee: Jona H. (Chi)


	Deportes Limache		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.45
	2.58	3.55	2.48	Watch
	2.62	3.67	2.53
	2.56	3.54	2.51
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.58	3.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.43)	3.48 ↓ (3.52)	2.47 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
35.9%

Draw
26.6%

Universidad Católica
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

25.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borquez M. (G) 23. Gonzalez Y. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 25. Llanten M. 6. Fuentes C. 16. Jean David 15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 19. Castro D.	1. Bernedo V. (G) 6. Arancibia S. 19. Ampuero B. 2. Gonzalez D. 3. Mena E. 5. Farias A. 11. Montes C. 8. Zuqui F. 14. Martinez J. A. 7. Giani J. 9. Zampedri F. (C)
Substitutes
18. Aban G. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 29. Oyarzun F. 9. Sosa G. 28. Vargas V.	13. Canales A. 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 22. Gomez M. 36. Gonzalez B. 27. Melo D. (G) 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J.
Coaches
Rivero V.	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Zampedri F. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
28', Arturia M. 🟨,
36', Zampedri F. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Rossel J. ⚽, Montes C. (A),
45+2', Gonzalez Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvarez V. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
60', Arturia M. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
71', Mena E. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
71', Zuqui F. ↓, Palavecino M. ↑,
74', Parot A. 🟨,
76', Giani J. 🟨,
77', Castro D. 🟨,
83', Llanten M. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
85', Giani J. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
86', Sosa G. 🟨,
89', Montes C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
89', Martinez J. A. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
90+4', Sosa G. 🟨,
90+6', Cuevas C. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	50:33	17	42
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Copa de la Liga
11.05.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTTWL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Copa de la Liga
10.05.26	Universidad Católica - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Universidad Católica - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
03.05.26	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
13.09.25	Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica	0:1
19.04.25	Universidad Católica - Deportes Limache	2:1

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