Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 13

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Referee: Galaz C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes La Serena		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.65
	2.62	3.35	2.52	Watch
	2.69	3.55	2.68
	2.73	3.23	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.62	3.38	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.44)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.55 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
35.9%

Draw
27.7%

Deportes Limache
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Limache will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 4. Mac Allister F. 33. Delgado R. 17. Salazar Y. 8. Escalante G. 9. Henriquez A. 6. Diaz S. 34. Stefanelli N. 10. Vargas J. (C) 11. Rubio D.	1. Borquez M. (G) 25. Llanten M. 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 4. Flores M. 6. Fuentes C. 21. Moya F. 16. Jean David 7. Morales C. 26. Arturia M. 19. Castro D.
Substitutes
14. Chamorro F. 15. Contreras B. 26. Dinamarca F. 16. Gutierrez J. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Velasquez M.	15. Alvarez V. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 11. Marin F. 3. Molina B. 8. Montecinos J. 29. Oyarzun F. 9. Sosa G. 28. Vargas V.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Stefanelli N. ⚽, Henriquez A. (A),
23', Escalante G. 🟨,
34', Stefanelli N. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Moya F. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
56', 3 - 0, Rubio D. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Delgado R. (Own goal),
62', Henriquez A. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
67', Chamorro F. 🟨,
82', Llanten M. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Chamorro F. ⚽,
90+2', Escalante G. ↓, Contreras B. ↑,
90+2', Rubio D. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
90+2', Delgado R. ↓, Marin M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.

Deportes La Serena is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Limache has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33
10	La Serena	23	7	9	7	34:38	-4	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
15.05.26	Palestino - Deportes La Serena	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
09.05.26	Deportes La Serena - Audax Italiano	2:4 ✺
02.05.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	0:5 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.26	Deportes La Serena - Huachipato	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTT
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
16.05.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
11.05.26	Palestino - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
06.12.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	1:0
Chilean Cup
12.10.25	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	1:6
07.09.25	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
22.06.25	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	1:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.09.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	2:0
29.04.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena	1:0

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