Match Info

Primera B - Round 22

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)


	Real Pilar		San Martín de Burzaco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	2.95	4.33
	1.95	2.92	3.85	Watch
	2.02	2.94	3.7
	2.02	2.94	3.89	Watch
	1.98	2.85	3.6
	1.9	3.1	3.99	Watch
	1.83	2.95	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.76)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	3.95 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
46.7%

Draw
30.5%

San Martín de Burzaco
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Pilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Pilar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Achucarro D. 8. Camargo T. 11. Crocco M. 2. Gelos V. 4. Isola G. 3. Leguiza D. 7. Mancini V. 10. Pansardi F. 5. Rios N. 9. Rodriguez E.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 6. Barrera N. 9. Chavez B. 8. Denis K. 10. Diaz R. 11. Gauna N. A. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 5. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 7. Velazquez R.
Substitutes
19. Cesar J. 14. Franco E. 16. Garcia P. 17. Gonzalez K. 18. Martinez F. 13. Puch M. 15. Rojas M. 12. Sanchez S. (G) 20. Vergara D.	17. Costa L. 14. Escudero M. 15. Juarez F. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 18. Muzzio M. 13. Tobon J. 19. Treppo E. 20. Zagert E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Isola G. 🟨,
38', Denis K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Pansardi F. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
60', Isola G. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
69', Siliman A. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
69', Lezcano L. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
75', Rodriguez E. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
75', Crocco M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
79', Diaz R. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
85', Mancini V. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90', Chavez B. ↓, Costa L. ↑,
90+1', Martinez F. 🟨,
90+4', Rios N. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Pilar is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Pilar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61
11	San Martin Burzaco	38	12	14	12	39:41	-2	50

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
20.06.26	Real Pilar - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Liniers - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
05.06.26	Ituzaingó - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Real Pilar - UAI Urquiza	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWL
- San Martín de Burzaco
Argentinian Primera B
20.06.26	UAI Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
06.06.26	Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.02.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	1:2
18.10.25	Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco	4:1
30.05.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	0:0
Argentinian Primera C
19.06.23	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	1:1
11.02.23	Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco	2:2
06.08.22	Real Pilar - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0
03.04.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Real Pilar	0:1

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