The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 31%
Draw 33.4%
Villa Dálmine 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
35.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.1%
32.8%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
San Martín de Burzaco - Villa Dálmine Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G)
9. Brandan L.
6. Broggi C.
4. Gamba L.
8. Garzino F.
3. Martinez D.
11. Morales M.
5. Nizzo M.
10. Prim S.
7. Solis M.
2. Zurita M.
Substitutes
13. Amicone A.
14. Britos M.
16. Carlucci V.
12. Friedrich G. (G)
20. Oro P.
17. Ramon E.
18. Roldan S.
19. Torres G.
15. Vitale D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Morales M. ⚽,
36', Garzino F. 🟨,
42', Prim S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Modon S. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
56', Treppo E. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
66', Garzino F. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
67', Brandan L. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
70', Siliman A. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
76', Denis K. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
76', Chavez B. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
84', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
89', Morales M. ↓, Carlucci V. ↑,
90+1', Nizzo M. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Carlucci V. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In recent matches, SM de Burzaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Villa Dálmine is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Villa Dalmine
38
17
13
8
38:23
15
64
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
Last Results with these Odds
Villa Dálmine - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
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