Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Badajoz		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.5
	1.38	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.32	9.4
	1.37	4.32	9.4
	1.36	4.32	8.85
	1.38	4.2	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.61)	4.29 ↑ (3.45)	8.34 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
67.4%

Draw
21.5%

Mensajero
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.

Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mensajero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Manchon Samuel ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Carrasco A. ⚽,
66', 3 - 0, Toscano S. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Badajoz is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mensajero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Badajoz is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Badajoz - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTTTW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.04.24	Mensajero - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Villanovense - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Mensajero - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Numancia - Mensajero	3:0 ✺
10.03.24	Mensajero - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Mensajero - Badajoz	1:1

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