Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.88
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.42	2.92	3.17
	2.42	2.92	3.17
	2.37	3	3.09
	2.25	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.4)	3.02 ↓ (3.98)	3.08 ↓ (8.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
39.5%

Draw
30.6%

Badajoz
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

23.1%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

22.4%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica Segoviana's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+28.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gimnástica Segoviana - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Borrego J. ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 1, Toscano S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, Segovia D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gimnástica Segoviana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	5:0 ✺
27.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Badajoz - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Badajoz - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Badajoz - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Badajoz - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1

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