Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)

Referee: Gawecki D. (Pol)


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.9
	3.5	3.75	1.95
	3.66	3.53	1.97
	3.6	3.67	1.94	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.85
	3.72	3.68	1.79	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.62)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
26.1%

Draw
25.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

24.5%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Polacek M. (G) 77. Bryla P. 3. Buchta P. 9. Klos W. 20. Kwietniewski M. 27. Pieczarka E. 26. Rutkowski M. (C) 10. Sangowski J. 16. Smajdor K. 18. Talar K. 99. Wilczynski J.	1. Sydorenko D. (G) 7. Apolinarski J. 8. Bahonko E. 5. Dias M. 11. Dziegielewski D. 16. Gajgier A. 4. Korczakowski I. 21. Los K. (C) 20. Niski N. 99. Noiszewski K. 9. Odolak K.
Substitutes
51. Bednarek J. (G) 6. Kolesar P. . Kosinski E. 23. Kowalik P. 29. Peciak P. 11. Pietraszkiewicz D. 47. Wokacz K.	26. Cierpial J. 80. Glacel M. (G) . Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 13. Lis J. 17. Niewiadomski J. 6. Skowronski G. 23. Sommerfeld K. . Urbanski P.
Coaches
Mierzejewski L.	Sasal M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Buchta P. 🟨,
31', Gajgier A. 🟨,
38', Talar K. 🟨,
43', Klos W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sangowski J. ↓, Pietraszkiewicz D. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Smajdor K. ⚽, Kwietniewski M. (A),
68', Niski N. ↓, Niewiadomski J. ↑,
68', Bahonko E. ↓, Sommerfeld K. ↑,
72', Pieczarka E. ↓, Kosinski E. ↑,
77', Wilczynski J. 🟨,
78', Odolak K. ↓, Urbanski P. ↑,
90+1', Los K. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Sandecja is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sandecja could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.10.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:5 ✺
19.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Unia Tarnów	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 2
26.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:6 ✺
06.10.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Resovia Rzeszów	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

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