The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paderborn 65.8%
Draw 20.5%
Sandhausen 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.8%
23.8%
19.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.9%
22.6%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn's performance.
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandhausen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Paderborn - Sandhausen Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 60% – 90%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation) and 14).
Paderborn has the most likely position - 2 (17.89%), has project points - 59, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (40%), has a chance of win league (18%).
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 17 (12.62%), has project points - 38, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality30, importance47, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Paderborn is indisputable favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Greece
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Serbia
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Sweden
Turkey
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