The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sandhausen 36.1%
Draw 27.2%
Magdeburg 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
26.5%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28.4%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandhausen's form might have worsened.
Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
46.4%
10.7%
Sandhausen - Magdeburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 64.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 14).
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (14.45%), has project points - 37, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Magdeburg has the most likely position - 18 (28.17%), has project points - 33, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality22, importance48, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Sandhausen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Magdeburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Magdeburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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