Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Gangwon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.15	6.5	Watch
	1.35	4.83	7.16	Watch
	1.47	4.3	7.36	Watch
	1.45	3.95	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	4.31 ↓ (4.83)	6.88 ↓ (7.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
64.9%

Draw
21.6%

Gangwon
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

18.5%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gangwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Gangwon will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Gangwon (1.94) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 13. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Tanaka S. 18. Suga D. 41. Maeda N. 51. Kato M. 98. Germain V.	21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 47. Shin Min-Ha 24. Park H. 23. Tuci M. 34. Song Jun-Seok 18. Kim Kang-Guk 4. Seo Min-Woo 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 9. Kim Gun-Hee 7. Kim Dae-Won
Substitutes
25. Chajima Y. 9. Germain R. 24. Higashi S. 36. Inoue A. 17. Kinoshita K. 32. Koshimichi S. 10. Marcos Junior 39. Nakamura S. 15. Nakano S. 1. Osako K. (G) 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.	70. Goo Bon-Cheul 33. Hong Chul 20. Jo Hyun-Tae 8. Kang Y. 14. Kim Dae-Woo 27. Kim Do-Hyun 26. Kim Min-Jun 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 22. Lee Sang-Heon 19. Park Sang-Hyeok 73. Yun Il-Lok
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Chung Kyung-Ho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Arai N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Kang-Guk ↓, Park Sang-Hyeok ↑,
46', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
46', Suga D. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
46', Maeda N. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
58', Germain V. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
61', Sasaki S. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Kato M. ⚽,
66', Lee You-Hyeon 🟨,
69', Tuci M. 🟨,
69', Sasaki S. 🟨,
71', Kato M. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
75', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
75', Park H. ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,
85', Song Jun-Seok ↓, Hong Chul ↑,
85', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Kim Do-Hyun ↑,
90+6', Kawabe H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Hiroshima is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J League Cup
01.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
17.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTW
- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Gangwon - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	FC Seoul - Gangwon	4:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.25	Gangwon - Vissel Kobe	4:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Daegu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Gangwon - Anyang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTT

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