Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Gangwon		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.92	2.92	2.58
	2.95	3.02	2.63
	2.98	3.52	2.15	Watch
				Watch
	3.07	2.98	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 (2.98)	3.11 ↓ (3.52)	2.49 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gangwon
31.7%

Draw
30.4%

Vissel Kobe
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.3%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	58.8%	35.3%

Gangwon - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Gangwon (1.57) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Park Cheong-Hyo (G) 99. Kang Joon-Hyuck 47. Shin Min-Ha 23. Tuci M. 34. Song Jun-Seok 42. Mo Jae-Hyeon 4. Seo Min-Woo 97. Lee You-Hyeon (C) 7. Kim Dae-Won 9. Kim Gun-Hee 22. Lee Sang-Heon	71. Gonda S. (G) 23. Hirose R. 31. Iwanami T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 41. Nagato K. 35. Tominaga N. 77. Gustavo Klismahn 30. Yamauchi K. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
70. Goo Bon-Cheul 33. Hong Chul 8. Kang Y. 14. Kim Dae-Woo 27. Kim Do-Hyun 18. Kim Kang-Guk 26. Kim Min-Jun 13. Lee Gi-Hyuk 1. Lee Gwang-Yeon (G) 24. Park H. 73. Yun Il-Lok	16. Caetano 52. Hamasaki K. 54. Hara S. 2. Iino N. 60. Kameda T. (G) 25. Kuwasaki Y. 55. Miyahara Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 13. Sasaki D. 56. Satomi T. 32. Ubong R. (G) 53. Watanabe H.
Coaches
Chung Kyung-Ho	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Lee Sang-Heon ⚽, Tuci M. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Mo Jae-Hyeon ⚽, Kim Dae-Won (A),
40', Seo Min-Woo 🟨,
43', 3 - 0, Song Jun-Seok ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Tominaga N. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
46', Komatsu R. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
46', Nagato K. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
50', 3 - 2, Jean Patric ⚽, Hirose R. (A),
60', Hirose R. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
67', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
71', Seo Min-Woo ↓, Kim Kang-Guk ↑,
71', Lee Sang-Heon ↓, Goo Bon-Cheul ↑,
78', Kim Dae-Won ↓, Lee Gi-Hyuk ↑,
87', Jean Patric ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
87', Lee You-Hyeon ↓, Kim Dae-Woo ↑,
87', Kang Joon-Hyuck ↓, Yun Il-Lok ↑,
88', Kim Gun-Hee 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Iwanami T. (A),
90+5', 4 - 3, Kim Gun-Hee ⚽,
90+8', Mo Jae-Hyeon 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Gangwon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vissel Kobe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Daegu - Gangwon	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Gangwon - Anyang	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLTL
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
17.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Kashima Antlers	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Vissel Kobe - Melbourne City	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWW

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