Match Info

J1 League - Round 34

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.23	6.18
	1.60	3.78	5.74	Watch
	1.59	4.1	5.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.56)	3.99 ↓ (4.1)	5.79 ↓ (5.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
60.2%

Draw
23.6%

Tokyo
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.41) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1 - Tokyo (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 3 - 60%). Tokyo (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 19. Sasaki S. 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 33. Shiotani T. 6. Kawabe H. 13. Arai N. 9. Germain R. 51. Kato M. 98. Germain V.	81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 5. Nagatomo Y. 3. Morishige M. 24. Scholz A. 2. Muroya S. 22. Endo K. 8. Ko T. 10. Higashi K. 40. Marcos Guilherme 16. Sato K. 14. Yamashita K.
Substitutes
30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 17. Kinoshita K. 32. Koshimichi S. 41. Maeda N. 39. Nakamura S. 18. Suga D. 3. Yamasaki T.	7. Anzai S. 32. Doi K. 13. Hatano G. (G) 37. Koizumi K. 39. Nakagawa T. 28. Nozawa L. 30. Oka T. 99. Shirai K. 88. Yamaguchi T.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Matsuhashi R.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4.

Hiroshima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tokyo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Nagakura M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kinoshita K. (Injury)

We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTW
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.05.25	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3
31.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	3:2
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	3:1
05.06.24	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2
Japan J1 League
02.03.24	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
28.10.23	Tokyo - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2
22.04.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	1:2

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