Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1


	Ulsan HD		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	3.7	3.66	1.97
	2.99	3.48	2.16	Watch
	3.54	3.58	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.99)	3.57 ↑ (3.48)	2.06 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
27.7%

Draw
26.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.5%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ulsan (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Hiroshima (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulsan (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Hiroshima (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Moon Jung-In (G) 28. Lee Jae-Ik 4. Seo Myung-Guan 66. Trojak M. 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 22. Kim Min-Hyeok (C) 16. Lee H. 2. Cho Hyun-Taek 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 36. Lacava M. 18. Heo Yool	1. Osako K. (G) 19. Sasaki S. (C) 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 33. Shiotani T. 13. Arai N. 41. Maeda N. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K.
Substitutes
6. Bojanic D. 97. Erick Farias 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 5. Jung Woo-Young 13. Kang Sang-Woo 19. Kim Young-Gwon 7. Ko Seung-Beom 27. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Marcao 26. Park Min-Seo 31. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 11. Um Won-Sang	30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 98. Germain V. 36. Inoue A. 26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 51. Kato M. 45. Kobayashi S. 32. Koshimichi S. 50. Sota M. 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Roh S.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok ⚽, Lee Jin-Hyun (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maeda N. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
62', Arai N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
66', Lee Jae-Ik 🟨,
74', Kinoshita K. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
74', Cho Hyun-Taek ↓, Park Min-Seo ↑,
74', Lee H. ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
75', Lacava M. ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
82', Shiotani T. 🟨,
83', Nakano S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
83', Kawabe H. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
86', Trojak M. ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,
86', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Marcao ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Ulsan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ulsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.

Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
18.10.25	Ulsan HD - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.25	Daegu - Ulsan HD	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Ulsan HD - Anyang	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTT
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
17.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Club World Cup
12.12.12	Ulsan HD - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:3

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