Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	TV 360
International	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Johor Darul Takzim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.45	5.3
	1.51	4.97	5.4
	1.54	4.84	4.85	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5
	1.58	4.91	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	4.73 ↑ (4.72)	5.04 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
61.5%

Draw
19.8%

Johor Darul Takzim
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

19.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

21.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Johor Darul Takzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Johor Darul Takzim than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Johor (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Johor (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 88. Matsumoto T. 16. Shichi T. 9. Germain R. 39. Nakamura S. 29. Suzuki A.	58. Zubiaurre A. (G) 24. Arribas O. 36. Parra R. 23. Israfilov E. 5. Antonio Cristian 18. Nene 4. Fazail A. (C) 95. Marcos Guilherme 28. Mendez N. 33. Silva J. 11. Jairo
Substitutes
13. Arai N. 23. Ayukawa S. 25. Chajima Y. 51. Kato M. 17. Kinoshita K. 45. Kobayashi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.	1. Abad Amat C. (G) 47. Aketxe A. 9. Bergson 77. Bermejo C. 21. Faiz N. 16. Hazmi S. (G) 88. Hidalgo M. 30. Insa N. 14. Lowry S. 13. Park J. 20. Teto A. 97. Yago Cesar
Coaches
Gaul B.	Xisco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Jairo 🟨,
32', Germain R. 🟨,
37', Nene 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fazail A. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
48', Aketxe A. 🟨,
55', Sasaki S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
56', Nakamura S. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
61', Kinoshita K. 🟨,
68', Silva J. ↓, Lowry S. ↑,
73', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
73', Germain R. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
86', Jairo ↓, Bergson ↑,
87', Shichi T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 1-3. Second leg.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Hiroshima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Johor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of AFC Champions League for now

Johor DT: 0.9%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League
04.03.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTW
- Johor Darul Takzim FC
AFC Champions League
04.03.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
28.02.26	Penang - Johor Darul Takzim	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Sabah FA - Johor Darul Takzim	1:6 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Malaysian Cup
13.02.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Melaka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.03.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1
10.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1

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