The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.7%
Draw 24.8%
Shimizu S-Pulse 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
21.5%
15.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
23.2%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.
Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 13. Arai N. 9. Germain R. 30. Arslan T. 10. Suzuki A.
16. Umeda T. (G) 4. Hasukawa S. 14. Park Seung-Wook 25. Brunetti M. 5. Kitazume K. 6. Uno Z. (C) 10. Matheus Bueno 39. Hidaka H. 8. Inoue K. 47. Shimamoto Y. 9. Oh Se-Hun
Substitutes
24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 17. Kinoshita K. 41. Maeda N. 35. Nakajima Y. 39. Nakamura S. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.
27. Hariu R. 81. Kozuka K. 11. Nakahara H. 97. Ohata R. 1. Oki Y. (G) 50. Stephens A. 38. Takahashi T. 28. Yoshida Y. 17. Yumiba M.
Coaches
Gaul B.
Yoshida T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Germain R. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
58', Arslan T. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
62', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Kitazume K. (A),
74', 1 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
76', Nakano S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
76', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
78', Hidaka H. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
78', Inoue K. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
85', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
88', Kawabe H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
89', Brunetti M. ↓, Hariu R. ↑,
90', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Oh Se-Hun (Penalty Awarded),
1, Suzuki A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Stephens A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Higashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kozuka K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nakajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Uno Z. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
Hiroshima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Shimizu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
China
Japan
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Osako K. (G) 
Arslan T. 
Park Seung-Wook 
Brunetti M. 
Stephens A. 
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