Match Info

J1 League - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	13:00	K-Ball
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan, NHK Hiroshima


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.50	7.50	Watch
	1.41	4.75	7.00
	1.43	4.30	6.40	Watch
	1.42	4.99	7.56
	1.41	4.93	7.2	Watch
	1.40	4.95	7.65
	1.45	4.53	7.19	Watch
	1.40	4.90	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	4.73 ↑ (4.2)	7.19 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
66.9%

Draw
20%

Shimizu S-Pulse
13.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.9%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.4%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Sanfrecce Hiroshima aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. (C) 37. Kim Ju-Sung 5. Arai N. 14. Matsumoto T. 8. Kawamura T. 18. Suga D. 11. Kato M. 10. Suzuki A. 23. Ayukawa S.	16. Umeda T. (G) 24. Sugai H. 4. Hasukawa S. (C) 14. Park Seung-Wook 25. Brunetti M. 47. Shimamoto Y. 17. Yumiba M. 18. Hirato T. 13. Germain R. 19. Kinoshita K. 7. Capixaba
Substitutes
29. Asano T. 7. Higashi S. 6. Kawabe H. 45. Kobayashi S. 32. Koshimichi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 46. Noguchi R. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 9. Yengi K.	50. Fujii T. 39. Hidaka H. 37. Koizumi K. 81. Kozuka K. 97. Ohata R. 9. Oh Se-Hun 1. Oki Y. (G) 41. Suzuki K. 28. Yoshida Y.
Coaches
Gaul B.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kawamura T. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
27', Yumiba M. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
41', 1 - 0, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Suga D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kato M. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
46', Capixaba ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
49', Kinoshita K. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
49', Hirato T. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Asano T. ⚽, Suga D. (A),
62', Germain R. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Matsumoto T. (A),
70', Suzuki A. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
70', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Hasukawa S. (Own goal),
82', Ayukawa S. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
87', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
90+3', Araki H. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.

Hiroshima has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Shimizu has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The betting markets point to Hiroshima as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Hiroshima: Haller S. (Red Card) Yamasaki T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Shimizu: Ishikawa K. (Knee Injury) Matsuzaki K. (Red Card).

Our forecast points to a victory for Hiroshima in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hiroshima has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:21 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hiroshima against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:5 goals (averaging 1.6:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	7	2	1	25:6	19	23
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10:11	-1	14

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 19.38% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 62.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
21.10.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.10.26	Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Iwaki	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
21.10.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	0:5 ✺
17.10.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.10.26	Mito HollyHock - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 penalties
22.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1
10.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0
Japan J1 League
26.02.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
03.09.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0
Japan J League Cup
18.05.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1

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