Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.96	Watch
	3.45	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.89	3.95	1.99
	3.62	3.53	2.03	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.05
	3.71	3.52	2.01	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.76)	3.61 ↓ (3.84)	1.98 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
26.1%

Draw
26.1%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 4. Inoue R. 10. Tanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 5. Kida H. 8. Kagawa S. 17. Sakata R. 48. Shibayama M. 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Sakuragawa S.	1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 3. Yamasaki T. 24. Higashi S. 9. Germain R. 40. Ohara M. 10. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
1. Fukui K. (G) 44. Hatanaka S. 19. Homma S. 18. Ishiwatari N. 13. Nakajima M. 6. Noborizato K. 16. Okuda H. 99. Yengi K. 14. Yokoyama Y.	13. Arai N. 11. Kato M. 17. Kinoshita K. 14. Matsumoto T. 35. Nakajima Y. 39. Nakamura S. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D.
Coaches
Papas A.	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Inoue R. ↓, Hatanaka S. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Germain R. ⚽,
59', Ohara M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
64', Ohata A. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
71', Suzuki A. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
71', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
76', Kida H. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
76', Sakata R. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
79', Nakajima M. 🟨,
82', Yamasaki T. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
82', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Sakuragawa S. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, Higashi S. ⚽,
90+12', Kagawa S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 0.

Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hiroshima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Uejo S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48% Cerezo Osaka: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.26%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
15.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
31.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
06.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
11.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
26.05.24	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
21.10.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	0:0
29.04.23	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
Japan J League Cup
22.10.22	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2

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