Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic


	FC Seoul		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	3	3.35	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.72	2.21
	2.77	3.78	2.28	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	3.29	3.64	2.11	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.58)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
33.4%

Draw
26.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Seoul will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seoul: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seoul (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 16. Choi Jun 40. Park Seong-Hoon 20. Lee Han-Do 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 8. Lee Seung-Mo 6. Babec H. 34. Song Min-Kyu 32. Klimala P. 9. Cho Young-Wook	1. Osako K. (G) 4. Araki H. 13. Arai N. 18. Suga D. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. (C) 88. Matsumoto T. 24. Higashi S. 9. Germain R. 51. Kato M. 29. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
30. Ahn J. M. 70. Anderson Oliveira 11. Cheon Seong-Hoon 44. Ham Sun-Woo 41. Hwang Do-Yun 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 36. Kim J. 27. Moon Seon-Min 63. Park Soo-Il 96. Ros J. 17. Ruiz L. 43. Son J.	23. Ayukawa S. 25. Chajima Y. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 17. Kinoshita K. 35. Nakajima Y. 39. Nakamura S. 46. Noguchi R. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Klimala P. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 2 - 0, Arai N. (Own goal),
40', Lee Seung-Mo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arai N. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
60', Kato M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
60', Kawabe H. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
62', Gu Sung-Yun 🟨,
68', Suga D. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
74', Klimala P. 🟨,
75', Cho Young-Wook ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
80', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
86', Higashi S. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),
90+6', 2 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Shichi T. (A),
90+7', Klimala P. ↓, Anderson Oliveira ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Seoul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Seoul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

FC Seoul - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	FC Seoul - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Shanghai Port - FC Seoul	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
22.11.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
14.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.05.16	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - FC Seoul	2:1
01.03.16	FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4:1
01.04.14	FC Seoul - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2
19.03.14	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - FC Seoul	2:1

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