Match Info

J1 League - Round 2

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.1	7	Watch
	1.47	4.15	6.3	Watch
	1.5	4.34	7.35
	1.49	4.27	6.84	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.46	4.2	6.91
	1.46	4.33	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.18 ↑ (3.74)	6.79 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
63.8%

Draw
22.4%

Fagiano Okayama
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 3. Yamasaki T. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Matsumoto T. 24. Higashi S. 9. Germain R. 40. Ohara M. 10. Suzuki A.	52. Hamada T. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 28. Matsumoto M. 41. Miyamoto E. 5. Ogura K. 88. Yamane T. 40. Kawano K. 8. Esaka A. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
13. Arai N. 4. Araki H. 30. Arslan T. 11. Kato M. 17. Kinoshita K. 39. Nakamura S. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D.	3. Fujii K. 55. Fujii Y. 22. Ichimi K. 33. Kamiya Yuta 77. Kawanami G. (G) 27. Kimura T. 2. Kudo K. 51. Shirai K. 98. Werik Popo
Coaches
Gaul B.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽,
42', Omori H. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ogura K. 🟨,
59', Kawano K. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
60', Ohara M. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
70', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
70', Matsumoto M. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
71', Ogura K. 🟨,
73', Higashi S. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
73', Germain R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
80', Miyamoto E. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
81', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
85', Kawabe H. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
85', Suzuki A. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Ichimi K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Arslan T. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shirai K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kimura T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fujii K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Suga D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Kamiya Yuta (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shiotani T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hiroshima is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Okayama: Fujita I. (Yellow Cards) Ichimi K. (Yellow Cards) Kimura T. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Okayama: Fujita I. (Injury) Kamiya Yuta (Injury) Nishikawa J. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48% Okayama: 1.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
07.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Fagiano Okayama - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
05.07.25	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1
12.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Fagiano Okayama	0:1

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