Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	12:00	K-Ball
Japan	13:00	DAZN Japan


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.86	Watch
	4	3.4	1.9
	4.05	3.6	1.82	Watch
	4.31	3.7	1.91
	4.18	3.72	1.84	Watch
	4	3.4	1.8
	4.08	3.62	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.22)	3.53 ↓ (3.92)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
22.7%

Draw
26.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.4%

24.1%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.2%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Shimizu S Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Umeda T. (G) 5. Kitazume K. 51. Sumiyoshi J. 14. Park Seung-Wook 28. Yoshida Y. 6. Uno Z. (C) 10. Matheus Bueno 21. Matsuzaki K. 49. Kitagawa K. 9. Oh Se-Hun 7. Capixaba	1. Osako K. (G) 19. Sasaki S. (C) 4. Araki H. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 15. Nakano S. 33. Shiotani T. 3. Yamasaki T. 16. Shichi T. 9. Germain R. 6. Kawabe H. 10. Suzuki A.
Substitutes
25. Brunetti M. 23. Chiba K. 11. Nakahara H. 97. Ohata R. 1. Oki Y. (G) 47. Shimamoto Y. 70. Takagi S. 38. Takahashi T. 17. Yumiba M.	24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 17. Kinoshita K. 41. Maeda N. 14. Matsumoto T. 35. Nakajima Y. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 18. Suga D.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Gaul B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Yoshida Y. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽,
33', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yamasaki T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
46', Shichi T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Oh Se-Hun (A),
72', Sasaki S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
72', Kawabe H. ↓, Maeda N. ↑,
74', Capixaba ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
82', Kitagawa K. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
83', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
83', Park Seung-Wook ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Matsumoto T. (A),
88', Suzuki A. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
90+1', Araki H. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Hiroshima: Shiotani T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	10	7	2	1	25:6	19	23
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10:11	-1	14

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 19.38% Shimizu S-Pulse: 0.43%

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.45%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLLW
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
18.03.26	Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Johor Darul Takzim	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
10.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
06.08.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:0
Japan J1 League
26.02.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
03.09.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0
Japan J League Cup
18.05.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1
Japan J1 League
29.04.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:2
Japan J League Cup
26.03.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2

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