Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 3

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium (Kashiwa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kashiwa Reysol		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.33	2.72	3.06	Watch
	2.52	3.05	3.34
	2.46	2.98	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.9
	2.48	2.94	3.24	Watch
	2.36	2.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.36)	2.89 ↓ (3.03)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kashiwa Reysol
38.2%

Draw
32.3%

Cerezo Osaka
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 27. Kumasaka K. 40. Harakawa R. 14. Koyamatsu T. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Watai M. 18. Kakita Y.	21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 16. Okuda H. 3. Shindo R. 33. Nishio R. 14. Funaki K. 10. Tanaka S. 5. Kida H. 48. Shibayama M. 38. Kitano S. 17. Sakata R. 13. Nakajima M.
Substitutes
3. Diego 9. Hosoya M. 15. Kinoshita K. 46. Matsumoto K. (G) 37. Nakajima S. 31. Naruse S. 33. Shirai E. 5. Tanaka H. 28. Toshima S.	77. Fernandes L. 1. Fukui K. (G) 44. Hatanaka S. 2. Nakamura T. 25. Okuno H. 9. Rafael Ratao 11. Thiago Andrade 7. Uejo S. 55. Vitor Bueno
Coaches
Rodriguez R.	Papastamatis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kitano S. ⚽, Nishio R. (A),
36', Harada W. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Watai M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
59', Sakata R. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Kakita Y. ⚽, Kinoshita K. (A),
71', Kida H. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
71', Shibayama M. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
71', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
77', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
77', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
80', Tanaka S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
88', Diego 🟨,
90', Okuno H. 🟨,
90+1', Harakawa R. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
90+3', Koizumi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 0.

Kashiwa will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:18 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
22.02.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.25	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	0:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
22.02.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Gamba Osaka - Cerezo Osaka	2:5 ✺
08.12.24	Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
03.04.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
12.08.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
23.04.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0
08.10.22	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	0:0
05.04.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1
07.11.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Cerezo Osaka	1:0

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