The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 46.7%
Draw 26.3%
Kawasaki Frontale 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
26.4%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
26%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
23.1%
15.4%
Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 39. Nakagawa N. 21. Konishi Y. 2. Mitsumaru H. 8. Koizumi Y. 16. Yuruki K. 18. Kakita Y.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 2. Matsunagane Y. 28. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 34. Osa R. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 13. Miura S. 9. Erison
Substitutes
88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 14. Okubo T. 20. Segawa Y. 28. Toshima S. 32. Yamanouchi Y.
32. Hayashi S. 17. Ito T. 38. Kanda S. 19. Kawahara S. 23. Marcinho 30. Noda H. 91. Romanic L. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Osa R. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
55', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
55', Yuruki K. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
64', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
70', Harada W. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
70', Konishi Y. ↓, Harakawa R. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Hosoya M. ⚽, Baba S. (A),
80', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
84', Koizumi Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
85', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
85', Maruyama Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1.
Kashiwa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kawasaki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kashiwa could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Taniguchi H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Yamaichi S.
(Illness)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Ienaga A.
(Calf Injury)
Kobayashi Y.
(Calf Injury)
Konno K.
(Calf Injury)
We predict that Kawasaki will win today's game, with odds of 3.45.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).