Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - Second stage - Semi-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
Japan	DAZN Japan, SKY PerfecTV!


	Yokohama FC		Sanfrecce Hiroshima

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.95	Watch
				Watch
	4.05	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.47	3.18	2.08
	4.99	3.58	1.69	Watch
	4.18	3.36	1.94	Watch
	4.9	3.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.92)	3.3 ↓ (3.44)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
21.4%

Draw
28.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

27.3%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

27.1%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Yokohama FC (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FC (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 16. Ito M. 30. Yamazaki K. 5. Fukumori A. 3. Suzuki J. 76. Yamada K. 28. Kumakura K. 48. Shimbo K. 91. Lukian 23. Kubota R. 9. Sakuragawa S.	26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Tanaka S. 24. Higashi S. 41. Maeda N. 35. Nakajima Y. 98. Germain V.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 39. Endo T. 32. Ishii R. (G) 15. Ito S. 33. Muroi K. 14. Nakano Y. 2. Nduka B. 7. Suzuki M. 8. Yamane T.	13. Arai N. 30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 36. Inoue A. 51. Kato M. 32. Koshimichi S. 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.
Coaches
Miura F.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Kawabe H. 🟨,
23', Kubota R. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Nakajima Y. ⚽,
35', Kumakura K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nakajima Y. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
46', Lukian ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
59', Shimbo K. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,
59', Kubota R. ↓, Adailton ↑,
71', Maeda N. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
73', Ito M. ↓, Nduka B. ↑,
79', Kumakura K. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Nakano S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 1.

Recent performances by Yokohama FC have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hiroshima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yokohama FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hiroshima is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:25. (average 0.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.2:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.57%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTWT
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Melbourne City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.06.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:4
02.03.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	1:0
16.07.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	1:1
Japan J League Cup
24.05.23	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0
Japan J1 League
15.04.23	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3
Japan J League Cup
08.03.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	3:1
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	5:0

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