Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck (Rio do Sul) 🌤️ ...


	Santa Catarina		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.82	2.82
	2.72	2.82	2.78	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.79
	2.67	2.67	3.01	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.75
	2.76	2.8	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.8)	2.84 ↓ (2.94)	2.82 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Catarina
34.5%

Draw
32.7%

Cuiabá
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

30.6%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santa Catarina - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cuiabá will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cuiabá: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cuiabá (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Vinicius Penelas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 1, Alex Goncalves ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Rodrigues R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Brener (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nino Paraiba (Penalty Awarded),
2, Coruja (Penalty Awarded),
3, Otavio L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gui Nascimento (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vitor Mendes (Penalty Awarded),
4, Renan Nunes (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Recent form of Santa Catarina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cuiabá has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cuiabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
21.02.26	Avaí - Santa Catarina	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Santa Catarina - IAPE	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.02.26	Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Santa Catarina - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Santa Catarina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.26	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cuiabá - Várzea Grande	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Chapada - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.11.26	Cuiabá - São Bernardo	✺

Santa Catarina - Cuiabá