Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Santa Clara		Larne

	1	X	2
	1.13	7	23
	1.13	7.25	21
	1.14	6.9	16.5	Watch
	1.1	7.6	18.16
	1.18	6.21	16.67	Watch
	1.13	8.55	24
	1.15	6.7	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.19)	7.17 ↑ (6.16)	19.62 ↓ (24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
82.2%

Draw
13%

Larne
4.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Santa Clara - Larne Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Larne will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 4. Pacheco P. 21. Venancio F. 32. MT 11. Brenner 77. Pereira H. 6. Adriano Firmino 8. Ferreira P. 64. Paulo Victor 70. Vinicius Lopes 17. Costa J.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 19. Nolan R. 3. Ridley M. 4. Donnelly A. 11. Graham S. 26. Bent D. 8. Randall M. 6. Gallagher C. 7. McKendry C. 10. O'Connor T.
Substitutes
9. Carter A. 10. Gabriel Silva 3. Matheus Pereira 12. Neneca (G) 13. Rocha L. 35. Serginho 29. Wendell	34. Devlin O. 36. Graham D. (G) 17. Kee J. 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 27. Moore K. 47. Simpson J. 25. Sloan D. 46. Wallace L.
Coaches
Matos V.	Rooney N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', McKendry C. 🟨,
37', MT 🟨,
43', Bent D. 🟨,
45+4', Costa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Adriano Firmino ↓, Serginho ↑,
46', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
55', Ferreira P. 🟨,
64', Pacheco P. ↓, Wendell ↑,
64', Ferreira P. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
64', Venancio F. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
68', Randall M. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
82', O'Connor T. ↓, Kee J. ↑,
82', McKendry C. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
87', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-0. 2nd leg.

Larne's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santa Clara is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Clara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
10.08.25	Famalicão - Santa Clara	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Larne - Santa Clara	0:3 ✺
31.07.25	Santa Clara - Varaždin	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Farense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
10.08.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Larne - Santa Clara	0:3 ✺
31.07.25	Prishtina - Larne	1:2 penalties ✺
24.07.25	Larne - Prishtina	0:0 ✺
16.07.25	Auda Riga - Larne	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Larne - Santa Clara	0:3

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