Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sport TV


	Santa Clara		Porto B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	1.98	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.61
	2.11	3.52	3.61
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	2.04	3.34	3.45	Watch
	2.03	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
45.5%

Draw
27.4%

Porto B
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Santa Clara - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Porto B will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Batista (G) 23. Lima S. 4. Pacheco P. 16. Henrique P. (C) 42. Lucas Soares 35. Serginho 20. Adriano Firmino 77. Klismahn G. 19. Almeida B. 99. Rafael Martins 49. Gabriel Silva	71. Meixedo F. (G) 72. Pinheiro R. 44. Correia R. (C) 73. Bras G. 85. Varela N. 62. Fernandes R. 46. Braima 98. Abraham M. 67. Sousa V. 78. Meireles J. 50. Wendell
Substitutes
18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 2. Diogo Calila 9. Joao Marcos 32. MT 10. Ricardinho 6. Velazquez S. 70. Vinicius Lopes	95. Cande U. 66. Cassama A. 53. Eric Pimentel 51. Fernandes D. (G) 52. Fernandes M. 77. Monteiro R. 86. Mora R. 68. Oliveira A. 49. Sousa G.
Coaches
Pires L.	Folha A.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.

Santa Clara in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Porto B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Clara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Clara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
09.12.23	Tondela - Santa Clara	2:3 ✺
03.12.23	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Elvas - Santa Clara	1:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
18.11.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
09.12.23	Porto B - AVS	2:3 ✺
02.12.23	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Penafiel - Porto B	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Porto B - Feirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.02.18	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:0
27.08.17	Porto B - Santa Clara	1:0
19.02.17	Porto B - Santa Clara	0:0
17.09.16	Santa Clara - Porto B	2:0
17.01.16	Porto B - Santa Clara	4:2
15.08.15	Santa Clara - Porto B	1:2
18.02.15	Santa Clara - Porto B	1:0

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