The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz PFA 40.6%
Draw 26.4%
Carmelita 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.9%
27.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
26.5%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz PFA's form might have worsened.
Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmelita's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz PFA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carmelita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 7).
Antioquia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carmelita has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Carmelita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Antioquia is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Antioquia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.