Match Info
Serie D - Round 14Date: 27 July 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Santa Cruz Recife |
|
Treze |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.41 |
3.9 |
6.75 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.6 |
6.1 |
|
 |
1.51 |
3.5 |
6.25 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.56 |
7.5 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.8 |
5.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.75) |
3.67 ↑
(3.45) |
6.49 ↑
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz Recife
61.5% | Draw
24.6% | Treze
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Cruz Recife's performance.Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Santa Cruz Recife - Treze Predictions
Users Predictions:
Santa Cruz Recife will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Cruz Recife will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Renato ⚽,
- 29', Renato 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 0, Eurico ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7). Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 3.Santa Cruz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Treze is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Santa Cruz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Santa Cruz is the obvious favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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