Match Info

Date: 1 August 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Manaus

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.09	2.95	3.4
	2.22	2.98	3.78
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.1	3.32	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
42.8%

Draw
30.2%

Manaus
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

28.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

23.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manaus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Manaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 7).

Santa Cruz has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Manaus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manaus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santa Cruz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
24.07.21	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
17.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Tombense	0:1 ✺
10.07.21	Altos - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
03.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Paysandu	1:2 ✺
21.06.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.21	Manaus - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Manaus	1:0 ✺
10.07.21	Botafogo PB - Manaus	4:1 ✺
03.07.21	Manaus - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
26.06.21	Manaus - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.05.21	Manaus - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0
21.11.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Manaus	1:2
19.09.20	Manaus - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

Santa Cruz Recife - Manaus

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife - Manaus Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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