Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lopez R. (Arg)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.2
	3.4	2.87	2.2
	3.4	2.9	2.17
	3.4	2.85	2.2
	3.71	3	2.26
	3.5	2.75	2.2
	3.46	2.98	2.13
	3.35	2.9	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (5.01)	2.91 ↓ (3.39)	2.2 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
26.4%

Draw
31.7%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.2%

26.8%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

26%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santamarina de Tandil's performance.

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	47.4%	42.1%

Santamarina de Tandil - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Santamarina will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 37 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Santamarina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gimnasia Mendoza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnasia Mendoza will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santamarina won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santamarina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	San Telmo - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Chaco For Ever	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	San Martín de San Juan - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
27.08.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
19.08.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLLL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.09.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Guillermo Brown - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Brown de Adrogué - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:2 ✺
20.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.11.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0
14.04.19	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Santamarina de Tandil	3:3
19.07.15	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0
07.03.15	Santamarina de Tandil - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.26	Lanús - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	✺

Santamarina de Tandil - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza