Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Santiago Morning		Arturo Fernández Vial

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.3
	2.12	2.7	3.35
	2.17	2.95	3.25
	2.24	2.89	3.69
	2.22	2.95	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.03)	2.87 ↑ (2.75)	3.43 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
41.8%

Draw
31.7%

Arturo Fernández Vial
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

33.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

32.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arturo Fernández Vial, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santiago Morning - Arturo Fernández Vial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

Santiago Morning is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arturo Fernández Vial is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arturo Fernández Vial could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santiago Morning will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.04.22	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.03.22	Lautaro de Buin - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.03.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Iquique	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	San Luis de Quillota - Santiago Morning	1:2 ✺
08.03.22	Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWT
- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.04.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Iquique	0:0 ✺
04.04.22	Universidad de Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
27.03.22	Deportes Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.03.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
14.03.22	Deportes Temuco - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.11.21	Arturo Fernández Vial - Santiago Morning	0:0
03.10.21	Santiago Morning - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2

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