Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 24

Date: 27 August 2023, Sunday


	Santiago Morning		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.3	3.45	2.83
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.27	3.45	2.81
	2.2	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (3)	3.4 ↑ (3.05)	2.82 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
40.7%

Draw
26.9%

Deportes Iquique
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

30%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

30.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Morning's performance.

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Iquique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Morning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Santiago Morning - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Morning: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Salvador J. (G) 15. Egana K. 17. Tapia D. 23. Ceron D. 7. Muga C. 13. Opazo D. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. 29. Cortes A. 9. De Hoyos D. 10. Ortega O. 20. Tapia Paez G.	12. Castillo D. (G) 18. Salinas Flores H. 26. Ledesma F. 30. Blazquez M. 7. Moya J. 10. Fernandez R. 20. Orellana D. 33. Sanhueza M. 8. Pino S. 11. Ramos A. 31. Gonzalez I.
Substitutes
22. Astete N. 30. Barrientos J. 1. Canete L. (G) 3. Contreras A. 27. Coronado M. 19. Pio E. 2. Salazar S.	6. Contreras J. 22. Delgado A. 23. Duran V. 17. Gonzalez C. 14. Pinto M. 25. Reyes M. (G) 36. Valenzuela R.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Santiago Morning could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santiago Morning will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Morning won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.08.23	Santiago Morning - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
06.08.23	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Morning	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Santiago Morning - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Santiago Morning - Deportes Antofagasta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLL
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
20.08.23	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Iquique	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Deportes Iquique - Universidad de Concepción	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
21.07.23	Deportes Iquique - Barnechea	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.04.23	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Morning	2:2
08.08.22	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Morning	3:1
22.03.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Iquique	1:0
25.10.21	Santiago Morning - Deportes Iquique	1:0
24.07.21	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Morning	1:2

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