The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Morning 36.7%
Draw 31.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28.5%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
27.6%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santiago Morning's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santiago Morning, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Santiago Morning - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santiago Morning will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Morning: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Santiago Morning (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Santiago Morning (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 14. Vasquez K. 16. Ceron D. 23. Delgado M. 25. Estay D. 4. Iturra M. 20. Ormeno E. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. (C) 7. Arancibia M. 10. Campillay K. 22. Arias D.
36. Dobboletta J. (G) 3. Pino Villalon J. (C) 5. Cavero H. 16. Rodriguez G. 23. Contreras S. 30. Moreno C. 14. Urzua D. 22. Caroca I. 25. Castillo C. 7. Rivera Faundez N. A. 42. Moreno M.
Substitutes
28. Alvarez D. 1. Arana A. (G) 6. Asprea T. 32. Carreno E. 9. Cid W. 27. Coronado M. 8. Salazar S.
19. Alegre M. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 40. Gonzalez D. 11. Harbottle K. 24. Maturana M. 21. Miranda B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Iturra M. 🟨,
25', Moreno C. 🟨,
29', Ormeno E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arancibia M. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
51', Ceron D. 🟨,
58', Moreno C. ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
63', Manriquez Hernandez F. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
71', Ceron D. ↓, Cid W. ↑,
74', Maturana M. 🟨,
77', Canete L. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
79', Vasquez K. 🟨,
85', Caroca I. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
88', Campillay K. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 3.
Recent performances by Santiago Morning have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Dobboletta J. (G) 
Rodriguez G. 
Arana A. (G) 
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