The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Morning 36.1%
Draw 30%
Unión San Felipe 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
28.6%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
27.4%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 2. Santelices G. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 14. Vasquez K. 25. Estay D. 4. Iturra M. 20. Ormeno E. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. (C) 15. Cortes F. 9. Cid W. 10. Campillay K.
12. Garces P. (C) 4. Contreras S. 16. Navarro P. 23. Gonzalez Y. 28. Olea M. 5. Leon A. 6. Gonzalez B. 10. Sagredo B. 14. Cordova J. 26. Rodriguez P. 9. Munoz C.
Substitutes
28. Alvarez D. 1. Arana A. (G) 17. Castro P. 27. Coronado M. 23. Delgado M. 24. Massaccesi L. 8. Salazar S.
13. Carcamo M. 1. Fuentes C. (G) 19. Gonzalez D. 32. Henriquez O. 31. Herrera H. 20. Mella J. 3. Ulloa H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cortes F. ⚽,
43', Cid W. 🟨,
45+1', Leon A. 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leon A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
60', Olea M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Ormeno E. ⚽,
61', Olea M. ↓, Henriquez O. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Sagredo B. ⚽,
63', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
74', Iturra M. 🟨,
75', Munoz C. ↓, Carcamo M. ↑,
79', Rodriguez P. ↓, Mella J. ↑,
79', Ormeno E. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
79', Estay D. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
79', Cortes F. ↓, Massaccesi L. ↑,
88', Campillay K. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
88', Cid W. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
90+7', Navarro P. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 1.
Santiago Morning has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Santiago Morning may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Cordova J. 
Arana A. (G) 
Gonzalez D. 
Herrera H. 
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